Key Stats: Moving Matt Garza to Tampa Bay in a 6 player deal was interesting in that it involved two great young prospects. Morisato of Fox Sports would have to retract his analysis of this being a fair trade much like Jesse Spector of the New York Daily News eventually changed his tune on Garza. After the playoffs, it appears the Rays nailed this one.
Let’s throw out the 3 starts he made in April. This will help explain why he is ranked so high in the preseason and can be done with justification since his ERA was 3 runs higher in this month than any other. Let’s include the postseason. It is the most relevant month in terms of what we can expect going forward. Here’s the line you get:
196.2 IP 13 W 3.47 ERA 1.21 WHIP 6.73 K/9 innings
Skeptics Say: Garza was brilliant in the postseason – at least in the start you watched. In Game 7 with a large stage, Garza looked dominant like past postseason heroes Jack Morris and Josh Beckett. In the ALDS on a smaller stage he was less than fantasy worthy.
Garza had 2 shutouts last year but also only had 15 out of 27 quality starts (April starts not included again). He throws really hard and his ball has great movement, but unlike 24 year old Matt Cain, the 25 year old Garza has only had one full season to develop.
Peer Comparison: Some publications (MLB.com & CBS Sportsline being two) have ranked Zack Greinke ahead of Garza.
Take the key stat from above and compare it to Greinke’s line from 2008:
202.1 IP 13 W 3.47 ERA 1.28 WHIP 8.14 K/9 innings
Certainly Greinke’s K/9 inning line commands respect, but the wins total for the two pitchers should be much different next year. The Royals are still a dormat and the Rays should be the favorite to win again next year. Wins are a much rarer stat than strikeouts. Advantage Garza.
Team Outlook: The Rays young staff pitched a lot of innings, but they are going to get a break in the offseason. A healthy Carl Crawford and Evan Longoria should help increase the 774 runs (13th in MLB) the Rays had last season. If they find a reliable closer, Garza will be a safe bet for 15+ wins.
What They’re Saying: MLB.com: #30 Starting Pitcher; CBS Sportsline: #48 Starting Pitcher and #153 Overall; Fox Sports: #33 Starting Pitcher; ESPN: #34 Starting Pitcher; Yahoo: #41 Starting Pitcher and #161 Overall
Projection: He might be a #4 pitcher in the Rays rotation, but he has #1 type stuff.
15W 3.32 ERA 1.21 WHIP 148 Ks in 195 innings
We’ve moved to FantasyBaseball365!
We're excited to announce that FBHotStove will be teaming up with FantasyBaseball365 to provide the best daily fantasy baseball content on the web.
This means that all new FBHotStove content will now be posted and can be viewed on www.fantasybaseball365.com.
You can catch all our new posts at:
Error: Twitter did not respond. Please wait a few minutes and refresh this page.
Recent Comments on FBHS
- LynchMob on Fantasy Pioneers Okrent, Waggoner, and Wolf Should Be in Cooperstown
- Lincoln on Jordan Walden Taking Over as Closer
- iq test on Torii Hunter Player Projection No. 92
- Discount Viagra online - Viagra discount coupon codes for all the customers! on Daily Notes | Is Matt Joyce for real?
- Yuri on Top 50 Players in Yahoo for July
Check out the Yardbarker Network!
Browse the FBHS Archives
- November 2011 (1)
- September 2011 (19)
- August 2011 (30)
- July 2011 (33)
- June 2011 (32)
- May 2011 (36)
- April 2011 (29)
- March 2011 (43)
- February 2011 (28)
- January 2011 (31)
- December 2010 (29)
- November 2010 (30)
- October 2010 (20)
- September 2010 (32)
- August 2010 (31)
- July 2010 (33)
- June 2010 (35)
- May 2010 (34)
- April 2010 (30)
- March 2010 (40)
- February 2010 (27)
- January 2010 (31)
- December 2009 (33)
- November 2009 (29)
- October 2009 (26)
- September 2009 (33)
- August 2009 (34)
- July 2009 (41)
- June 2009 (39)
- May 2009 (35)
- April 2009 (39)
- March 2009 (31)
- February 2009 (28)
- January 2009 (31)
- December 2008 (32)
- November 2008 (31)
- October 2008 (2)