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Key Stats: Forget about the knee injuries for just a second. There was a time when the same debate we have today about Clayton Kershaw versus Max Scherzer was Tim Lincecum vs Yovani Gallardo. It was 2007 and Gallardo was cruising for AAA Nashville. He had struck out 110 batters in only 77.2 innings. He was called up at the same time as Ryan Braun and Braun was the after thought. Now the hype is dead, but Gallardo still has power stuff.

Skeptics Say: Whenever one knee goes, the other knee is often next to go since the other knee becomes so much stronger. That was the case with Gallardo. He was rushed back last season for the Brewers playoffs run, and he still needs to prove that he can bounce back physically and mentally. The Brewers might be cautious with his innings, but then again they did rush him back last year.

Peer Comparison: In 2007 Lincecum struck out 46 in 31 innings at AAA Fresno before getting the call to the Majors. The 13.35 K/9 innings for Timmy compared closely to the video game that Gallardo was playing with his 12.75 K/9 over a greater number of innings. Looking at their splits in the Majors from 2007, it can be inferred that Gallardo was a better Cy Young candidate at 2008. Gallardo had a 1.36 September ERA and Lincecum’s batting average against that month was .288.

Team Outlook: The Brewers will be worse, but it won’t effect Gallardo too much since it’s the rest of the Brewers pitching staff and not the run support that is effected. Solomon Torres is retired, but he was long overdue to be a problem in 2009 after not being much of a problem last season.

What They’re Saying: #51 Starting Pitcher; CBS Sportsline: #43 Starting Pitcher and #109 Overall; Fox Sports: #36 Starting Pitcher; ESPN: #19 Starting Pitcher; Yahoo: #23 Starting Pitcher and #112 Overall

Projection: In the middle of July when most pitchers have a prolonged break, Gallardo will go on short rest for the NL All-Stars.
15 wins 3.09 ERA 1.17 WHIP 172K in 166 innings

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2 Responses to No. 98 Yovani Gallardo SP Milwaukee Brewers

  1. Brozif says:

    I think if the Brewers are out of contention early (and they will be), that Gallardo runs the risk of being rested heavily down the stretch. Can’t see them sending him out recklessly a la CC 2008.

    Considering his health is a question mark to begin with, I’m not sure how enticing his “upside” really is if he’s not going to play much in September.

  2. Schruender says:

    You’re thinking too much like a smart person and not like a Major League manager.

    Remember that Tim Lincecum had a pitch count of 138 in a meaningless September game last year.

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