Key Stats: Geovony Soto slugged a home run every 21.5 at bats last season. That’s better than all the other top five catchers (Joe Mauer, Brian McCann, Victor Martinez, Russell Martin).
Skeptics Say: Soto struck out in almost 25% of his plate appearances. That’s worse than all the other top five catchers.
Peer Comparison: Time to talk average draft position (ADP). It’s probably something that is overrated because managers in your league will always have strong biases, so I’m just going to pull from a draft I had last season.
McCann was selected in the 9th round as the fourth catcher in the draft. That same round Brad Hawpe was taken. In the 21st round, the manager that took Hawpe snagged Ivan Rodriguez and the guy that had McCann grabbed Cameron Maybin. Ultimately Maybin would be dropped for Randy Winn and Rodriguez for Kelly Shoppach. A look at the numbers for the combo
Hawpe & Shoppach: 136R 46 HR 140 RBI
McCann & Winn: 152R 33 HR 151 RBI
Soto will be taken around the 8th or 9th round. The comparison above is just one example, but taking the catcher might be the best move. Of course if I used Victor Martinez ADP or substituted Carlos Quentin or Ryan Ludwick for Winn the stats could always tell different stories.
Lineup Outlook: If Soto continues to hit 5th like he did in the playoffs, he will have a big year in the RBI column. He could move up to the fourth spot if Lou Pinella does the right thing and moves Derek Lee down and moves Aramis Ramirez and Soto up in the order. Last season Soto was used mostly in the 6th and 7th spots in the order so take that into account with his RBI and runs total last season.
Projection: He hits at home and on the road. He hits against lefties and righties. He’s really young. Peter Gammons tried to call him the NL MVP. There’s a lot to like.
73R 26HR 98 RBI 0 SB .290 AVG .850 OPS
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