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Key Stats: The ankle injury that caused Jimmy Rollins missed to miss the majority of April last season lingered on throughout the year. Rollins claims it’s all good now. He finished 2008 with 160 less at bats than he had in 2007, but look for Rollins to bounce back and have closer to 650 at bats this season. Before last season Rollins had played in at least 154 games for 7 straight seasons. He demonstrated that he was feeling great by his performance in the WBC by being the only American named to the All-Tournament team. Off the field things are going ‘pretty’ well for him too.

Skeptics Say: Rollins is now 30 years old, so the 154 games per season is certainly not a guarantee. Even with perfect health, thinking that another season like his MVP year in 2007 is in the works would be a mistake because Rollins had a career year that season. Putting up 30 home runs in a season was a one-time thing.

Peer Comparison: The 30 home runs that Rollins won’t hit is exactly the reason that Rollins goes in the late first round rather than the early first round. Hanley Ramirez, despite acting like a toddler recently, will hit 30 home runs and is capable of stealing the same amount of bases as Rollins. To people in leagues where it is allowed, I would try to switch picks to get an earlier first rounder rather than a late first rounder because a worse second round pick is worth the difference between Ramirez and Rollins. The same strategy can be applied to auction leagues – pay beyond top dollar for Ramirez. Not saying Hanley’s the best player in fantasy…stay tuned!

Lineup Outlook: All signs point to Chase Utley being healthy and ready for Opening Day. If something breaks down along the way, the Phillies could fall back on Raul Ibanez hitting in the three spot without a significant drop off. Ibanez has averaged 113 runs the past three seasons hitting with Ichiro in front of him, and Rollins offensive game is fairly similar to Ichi. Ibanez will be a better fit than Pat Burrell who hit about 40 points below Ibanez the past three years and never drove in 100 in that same time frame.

What They’re Saying: #3 Shortstop and #13 Overall; CBS Sportsline: #3 Shortstop and #13 Overall; Mock Draft Central ADP: #8 Overall; Fox Sports: #3 Shortstop; ESPN: #3 Shortstop; Yahoo: #3 Shortstop and #11 Overall

Projection: The injury didn’t effect the steals much – Rollins was caught only 3 times in 50 attempts.
125R 21 HR 73 RBI 45 SB .290 AVG .848 OPS

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