Key Stats: Tim Lincecum finished with 265 strikeouts and 10.5 K/9 innings. He actually got better as the season progressed with strikeouts as his rate moved above 12 K/9 innings in the second half. Essentially what he brings in strikeouts is the same thing that Jose Reyes brings to stolen bases. There is still a need to draft more pitchers with strikeouts, but the Derek Lowe, Scott Baker and Kevin Slowey types (great WHIP, low Ks) are easier to take with Lincecum anchoring a rotation.
Skeptics Say: Nobody from the Giants offense or bullpen was listed on this countdown for a reason. Lincecum threw 227 innings which was 49.2 inning more than he registered between AAA and the Giants in 2007. In three consecutive meaningless starts in September, Lincecum threw 126, 138, and 118 pitches. The risk for injury is far greater with him than players like Evan Longoria or Dustin Pedroia who are ranked slightly below him.
Peer Comparison: The biggest knock on Lincecum aside from the injury risk is that he will go under last season’s 18 win total. I think it will slide no lower than 15. Below I listed the number of quality starts that resulted in either a no decision or loss from the best pitchers and wins leaders from 2008.
Johan Santana, Matt Cain 14
Cole Hamels, Jake Peavy 11Lincecum, Ted Lilly 9
C.C. Sabathia, A.J. Burnett, Joe Saunders, Ervin Santana, Ryan Dempster 8
Dan Haren 7
Roy Halladay, Edinson Volquez, Roy Oswalt 6
Cliff Lee, Chad Billingsley, Gavin Floyd, Jon Lester 5
Daisuke Matsuzaka 3
Lincecum wasn’t as “lucky” as it appears. It just so happens that the two guys he gets most frequently compared to (Johan and Cain) were terribly unlucky.
Team Outlook: So given that the same cast is back this season for San Francisco, it’s likely that Lincecum will have another 9 or 10 quality starts go to waste. Given that he could be better and that Bruce Bochy isn’t afraid to ignore pitch counts, 18 wins can happen again.
What They’re Saying: MLB.com: #3 Starting Pitcher and #32 Overall; CBS Sportsline: #3 Starting Pitcher and #15 Overall; Mock Draft Central ADP: ; Fox Sports: #2 Starting Pitcher; ESPN: #2 Starting Pitcher; Yahoo: #2 Starting Pitcher and #20 Overall
Projection: Opponents hit .200 off Pedro Martinez in 1999 when he was the best overall player in fantasy baseball. Opponents hit .193 in the second half of Lincecum last season.
17 wins 2.48 ERA 1.13 WHIP 275K in 235 innings
We’ve moved to FantasyBaseball365!
We're excited to announce that FBHotStove will be teaming up with FantasyBaseball365 to provide the best daily fantasy baseball content on the web.
This means that all new FBHotStove content will now be posted and can be viewed on www.fantasybaseball365.com.
You can catch all our new posts at:
Error: Twitter did not respond. Please wait a few minutes and refresh this page.
Recent Comments on FBHS
- LynchMob on Fantasy Pioneers Okrent, Waggoner, and Wolf Should Be in Cooperstown
- Lincoln on Jordan Walden Taking Over as Closer
- iq test on Torii Hunter Player Projection No. 92
- Discount Viagra online - Viagra discount coupon codes for all the customers! on Daily Notes | Is Matt Joyce for real?
- Yuri on Top 50 Players in Yahoo for July
Check out the Yardbarker Network!
Browse the FBHS Archives
- November 2011 (1)
- September 2011 (19)
- August 2011 (30)
- July 2011 (33)
- June 2011 (32)
- May 2011 (36)
- April 2011 (29)
- March 2011 (43)
- February 2011 (28)
- January 2011 (31)
- December 2010 (29)
- November 2010 (30)
- October 2010 (20)
- September 2010 (32)
- August 2010 (31)
- July 2010 (33)
- June 2010 (35)
- May 2010 (34)
- April 2010 (30)
- March 2010 (40)
- February 2010 (27)
- January 2010 (31)
- December 2009 (33)
- November 2009 (29)
- October 2009 (26)
- September 2009 (33)
- August 2009 (34)
- July 2009 (41)
- June 2009 (39)
- May 2009 (35)
- April 2009 (39)
- March 2009 (31)
- February 2009 (28)
- January 2009 (31)
- December 2008 (32)
- November 2008 (31)
- October 2008 (2)