Key Stats: For the second straight season, Brian Roberts stole more bases than any second basemen. Looking at his numbers in a twelve team rotisserie league with three outfielders and one second basemen, this is a great advantage. With Yahoo standards, Mike Aviles was the twelfth best second basemen last year. Jayson Werth was the 36th best outfielder. Comparing Roberts and Werth with yesterday’s profiled player, Matt Kemp, and Aviles there is a strong case for going for position scarcity.
Roberts and Werth totals: 180R 33 HR 124 RBI 60 SB .287 AVG
Kemp and Aviles totals: 161R 28 HR 127 RBI 43 SB .304 AVG
Skeptics Say: The contract is done and inevitably the motivation to perform will go down with it.
Peer Comparison: The wheels have been slowly going their separate ways for Chone Figgins the last couple of years. Last season he had his lowest steal total and percentage in five years. Naturally the first stat to turn to for an explanation would be his age, but Figgins is younger than Roberts. The next stat is of course injuries, which has been a problem for Figgins the last two years. If Figgins could get to 600 at bats like he did in 2006, he could have reached 56 steals in 2007 and 45 steals in 2008. Both of these totals would have beaten Roberts.
A month ago both Roberts and Figgins were going to be free agents after this season, but now only Figgins is set to test the open market. With a better lineup around him and more motivation, Figgins is a better bang for your buck.
Lineup Outlook: The resurgence of Aubrey Huff was a welcome site for BRob owners last season. Huff hit .330 with runners on base. Nick Markakis gets inches better every season as he set new career highs for on base percentage and slugging percentage last season. Whether or not Huff can pick up where he left off will be a factor in seeing if BRob can get to 110 runs scored. Markakis makes 100 runs a sure thing.
What They’re Saying: MLB.com: #4 Second Baseman and #36 Overall; CBS Sportsline: #4 Second Baseman and #40 Overall; Mock Draft Central ADP: #36 Overall; Fox Sports: #5 Second Baseman; ESPN: #5 Second Baseman; Yahoo: #5 Second Baseman and #38 Overall
Projection: Don’t overlook 51 doubles last season. That helps add four more home runs to the projection.
105R 13 HR 56 RBI 42 SB .290 AVG .816 OPS
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