Key Stats: Mark Teixeira has averaged 36 home runs and 119 RBI since 2004. Those numbers in one season would have been good enough to put him in the top ten of homers and the top five in RBI last year. The fact that he’s averaged that for six seasons is just silly. Having played in 156 or more games in 4 of the last 5 seasons goes a long way to having those numbers pile up.
Skeptics Say: Teixeira wasn’t the same player away from the short portch of Yankee Stadium, but then again the numbers are going to look good at the end of the year. There just aren’t too many negative things to say about Tex.
Peer Comparison: Putting Teixeira, Miguel Cabrera, Ryan Howard, and Prince Fielder in order is extremely difficult, but necessary. Every point matters, so the best strategy is to employ them at different points in the season depending on the league’s formatting.
For head to head leagues the play is to draft Cabrera or Fielder. Cabrera came out smoking last year with a .377 average in April. Fielder had a terrific first half last season as the 13th best player in the month of May and the 8th best player in June. On the other hand Teixeira and Howard have not been very productive players to start the year, but have gotten extremely hot at other points in the season.
In roto leagues, it is best to trade and adjust as the season progresses. Howard will set teams backward in batting average, but then again he usually is a step ahead in other categories. Cabrera is usually a step lower in home runs, but also a step ahead in home runs. When things get really desperate, trade for the player who is performing the worst among the four and hope he gets hot. This is an easy point to argue, but when the season is over this is where I have them ending up:
Lineup Outlook: The addition of Curtis Granderson in front of Teixeira looks good on paper, but it might not turn out that way. Granderson’s OBP was 40 points worse than Johnny Damon last season and not only that but Granderson has more power than Damon which means Tex will come up with the bases empty just a little more on top of that 40 points of OBP. If Granderson can go back to a below average hitter against lefties rather than looking like a pitcher at the dish, it will be like Damon never left for Tex owners.
What They’re Saying: CBS Sportsline: #3 First Baseman; ESPN.com: #12 Overall; Yahoo: #2 First Baseman and #8 Overall; Mock Draft Central ADP: #6 Overall; Couch Managers: #8 Overall; FB 365: #4 First Baseman
Projection: Just copy and paste last year’s numbers. And the year before that. And the year before that. And the…
104 R 35 HR 121 RBI 1 SB .289 AVG .968 OPS
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