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Key Stats: Neftali Feliz had a 0.88 WHIP last season. When a guy averages less than a base runner allowed per inning, it’s tough to blow saves. Only Mariano Rivera, Hung Chi-Kuo, and Rafael Soriano hovered below 0.90 among pitchers with at least 10 saves last season. Feliz also had a terrific strikeout rate (only Kuo had a better one of the three pitchers mentioned above), and a solid ERA. If you really want to make a case for it, you could argue that Feliz is the top closer in fantasy next season.

Skeptics Say: Although line drives were hit against him less than 15% of the time, I doubt that he can have another season with a .234 BABIP against. And he’s also still very young. Despite the fact that his innings went down last year, the number of games he pitched in went up fairly drastically (32 game increase) so the arm could feel an effect from all the times he had to get himself warmed up and ready to throw as hard as he could for just a short period of time.

Peer Comparison: Deciding between Feliz or Joakim Soria will be an issue next year.

Better Team: Feliz
More Experience: Soria
WHIP: Feliz
Strikeout to Walk Rate: Soria
Luck Factors (BABIP will stay the same, LOB% was normal, ERA close to FIP): Feliz
Yahoo Rank Last Year: Soria

Overall the edge goes to Soria. Experience/consistency is the most important thing to consider. Both players were ranked really close to each other last year, but it was the fourth year in a row Soria was ranked in the top 110. While it wouldn’t be surprising if a couple years from now if the same can be said of Feliz, but a decline wouldn’t be surprising either knowing how crazy the closer position has always been (who didn’t like Jonathan Broxton and Joe Nathan at this time last year?). One other thing to consider is that Soria got more saves on the Royals last year than Feliz for the AL Champs. Some of that has to do with Frank Francisco’s four blown saves, but that’s the nature of the closer position too. Bad teams often win close games.

Team Outlook: Poor Michael Young is arguably the greatest hitter of all-time for the Rangers and going to get his 2000th hit with the team this year, but he will be stuck playing DH. Feliz won’t mind having Adrian Beltre as a teammate though – providing he hits the ball like he did last season. Feliz will need an extra run cushion from Beltre and company at home because his ERA was two and a half runs worse in Arlington. One other thing to watch for related to the Rangers as a team going forward is the possibility of Feliz returning to starting duty some day.

What They’re Saying: Yahoo: #3 Relief Pitcher & #71 Overall; CBS Sportsline: #4 Closer; Tristan Cockcroft of #88 Overall; Couch Managers: #104 Overall

Projection: Feliz is young, so ending with a bang last season was important. A 0.38 ERA over his last 23.2 innings including playoffs isn’t too shabby.
5 wins 39 saves 2.35 ERA 1.07 WHIP 80 K in 71 innings

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